Convergencia Relativa del Índice de Libertad Económica en Canadá
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.59072/rper.vi74.868Palavras-chave:
Clubes de Convergencia, Libertad Económica, Modelos de Series de Tiempo, Modelos PanelResumo
Este trabajo analiza la hipótesis de convergencia relativa del índice de libertad económica a nivel provincial en Canadá durante el período 1981-2021. Para ello, se emplea la metodología propuesta por Phillips y Sul (2007, 2009), que permite evaluar la convergencia considerando tanto la heterogeneidad idiosincrásica como común de las variables a lo largo del tiempo mediante un modelo de factor de transición no lineal. Esta aproximación no requiere supuestos sobre las propiedades estocásticas o de cointegración de la variable, lo que la hace especialmente adecuada para estudios de convergencia económica. Los resultados muestran que la mayoría de las provincias forman un gran club convergente, mientras que Quebec sigue una trayectoria divergente. Este hallazgo indica la presencia de múltiples estados estacionarios en la libertad económica regional y subraya la relevancia de factores estructurales e institucionales en la dinámica de convergencia. La identificación de un grupo no convergente tiene importantes implicaciones para la formulación de políticas públicas, orientadas a armonizar la calidad institucional y promover un crecimiento económico equilibrado en todo el país.
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